added user specific metrics

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2025-07-30 17:20:01 +02:00
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@@ -154,6 +154,27 @@ detecting the slight temperature rise that follows ovulation.
Advances in wearable technology have further enabled continuous and automated temperature monitoring,
improving accessibility and usability~\cite{alexander_fertilitatsmonitoring_2014, luo_detection_2020, yu_tracking_2022}.
\subsubsection{Use Cases of Fertility Prediction}\label{subsubsec:use_cases_of_ovulation_prediction}
The prediction of ovulation and corresponding fertility within a menstrual cycle serves two distinct use cases.
Specifically, we will focus on \emph{natural family planning} (NFP), which includes preventing and achieving pregnancy.
Individuals aiming to avoid pregnancy identify fertile days to abstain from intercourse,
whereas those seeking pregnancy aim to focus intercourse around days with the highest fertility probability.
Both use cases revolve around accurately predicting ovulation.
However, the implications of prediction errors differ significantly.
A false-positive prediction indicates high fertility despite actual fertility being low or nonexistent,
whereas a false-negative prediction implies low fertility when fertility is actually high.
For women aiming to avoid pregnancy, minimizing false-negative predictions is crucial due to the risk of unintended pregnancy.
Although false-positives may lead to unnecessary abstinence, this outcome is generally considered less severe.
Consequently, prediction algorithms should be conservative, erring on the side of higher fertility estimates to prioritize safety.
Conversely, for women aiming to conceive, false-positive predictions could misdirect efforts toward incorrect cycle days,
causing frustration or delays.
False-negatives have fewer negative consequences.
Therefore, algorithms for this group should prefer cautious fertility estimates,
reducing the risk of misdirected effort.
\subsection{Data Source and Characteristics}\label{subsec:data_background}
This study is based on a dataset collected from users of the \emph{OvulaRing}~\cite{noauthor_ovularing_nodate},
an intravaginal wearable sensor developed by VivoSensMedical GmbH, located in Leipzig, Germany~\cite{noauthor_vivosens_nodate}.
@@ -532,7 +553,6 @@ including time-series forecasting and biomedical modeling~\cite{wu_deep_nodate,z
Its ability to model complex, long-range dependencies without recurrence makes it well-suited to domains like biomedical time-series,
where signals are often irregular and span diverse temporal resolutions.
\subsubsection{Convolutional Layers as Temporal Feature Extractors}
For high-resolution time-series data, the input dimensionality can become large,
especially in models like Transformers that process the entire sequence in parallel.