rework of results section

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2025-08-20 16:51:13 +02:00
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\section{Discussion}\label{sec:discussion}
\paragraph{Limitations.}
This analysis reports aggregate test-set metrics without uncertainty quantification.
Because we did not retain per-user predictions, we cannot compute user-level bootstrap confidence intervals or perform paired significance testing.
As a result, apparent performance differences—especially small ones—may reflect sampling variability.
Future re-evaluation that stores per-user predictions will enable user-level bootstrapping, calibration assessment, and formal comparisons.
%In this study, we investigated the performance of different machine learning architectures on the task of fertility prediction,
%with the aim to find a model that performs well for natural family planning and natural contraception on regular and irregular cycles.
%
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%Results do not show any clear indication that the temperature contains any patterns useful for the prediction of
%fertility or the ovulation.
% regarding the different performance increases on historical contexts: It might have been useful to take a closer look
% at the characteristics / differences for users with many cycles available
% talk about whether bbt / temperature can be used for such a task, discuss bbt doubt papers
% While previous work has argued against the predictive value of BBT~\cite{some_author_2010}, our findings suggest otherwise.
@@ -77,4 +85,7 @@ Alternatively, a custom architecture could be developed to better reflect the do
Future work may incorporate more advanced hyperparameter optimization techniques,
such as Bayesian Optimization, Genetic Algorithms, or Neural Architecture Search (NAS),
to better explore the joint parameter space in a more efficient and principled manner.
to better explore the joint parameter space in a more efficient and principled manner.
% add improvements in experiments / comparison
% add better decision base