hopefully final commit
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\begin{titlepage}
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\centering
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{\large \textbf{Leipzig University}}\\[1.5cm]
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{\large Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science}\\[2cm]
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{\large Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science}\\[1cm]
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\includegraphics[width=7cm]{leipzig_university_logo}\\[1cm] % Adjust size as needed
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@@ -47,7 +47,9 @@
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\textbf{Master’s Thesis}\\[1cm]
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\textbf{Author:}\\
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Alexander Blank\\[0.5cm]
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Alexander Blank\\ [0.2cm]
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Matriculation Number: \\
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3796505\\ [0.5cm]
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\textbf{Supervisor:}\\
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Prof. Bogdan Franczyk\\
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@@ -62,7 +64,22 @@
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\pagebreak
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\begin{abstract}
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This could be your abstract - call 0800 - ABSTRACT to get your personal quote.
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This thesis investigates the feasibility of predicting fertility from high-resolution body
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core temperature data using machine learning.
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More than 40,000 cycles recorded with an intravaginal sensor were used to train and evaluate recurrent,
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transformer-based, and convolutional model variants.
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Results show that while LSTM models achieved the lowest error on standard metrics,
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transformer-based architectures performed more robustly in use-case evaluations
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for contraception and natural family planning (NFP).
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Predictions were substantially more accurate in regular cycles than in irregular ones,
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underlining both the promise and the limits of temperature-based approaches.
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A pre-ovulatory temperature drop was identified as a relevant physiological marker influencing fertility probability.
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In simulated use cases, model predictions approached the effectiveness of established contraceptive
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methods and enabled more efficient timing for conception efforts.
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Despite the limitations of retrospective labeling, noisy real-world data,
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and the restriction to temperature as a single modality,
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the study demonstrates that machine learning can meaningfully advance individualized fertility prediction.
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These results provide a foundation for future multimodal approaches and for the development of adaptive, user-tailored fertility support tools.
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\end{abstract}
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\pagebreak
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@@ -97,6 +114,19 @@
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Responsibility for the content, structure, and conclusions of this thesis remains entirely my own.
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\pagebreak
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I hereby declare that I have written the present thesis independently and only with the use of the sources and aids indicated.
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In particular, literal or paraphrased quotations are marked as such.
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I am aware that any violation may lead, even retrospectively,
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to the revocation of the degree.
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I further declare that the electronic copy is identical to the printed copies.
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\vspace{2cm}
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\noindent
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\begin{tabular*}{\textwidth}{@{\extracolsep{\fill}} l c r}
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Location: & Date: & Signature: \\
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\end{tabular*}
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\include{sections/appendix}
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\printbibliography
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