hopefully final commit

This commit is contained in:
Alex Blank
2025-09-05 20:02:41 +00:00
parent a2fdf2f0a3
commit bf2e79cc4c
15 changed files with 709 additions and 449 deletions
+33 -3
View File
@@ -38,7 +38,7 @@
\begin{titlepage}
\centering
{\large \textbf{Leipzig University}}\\[1.5cm]
{\large Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science}\\[2cm]
{\large Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science}\\[1cm]
\includegraphics[width=7cm]{leipzig_university_logo}\\[1cm] % Adjust size as needed
@@ -47,7 +47,9 @@
\textbf{Masters Thesis}\\[1cm]
\textbf{Author:}\\
Alexander Blank\\[0.5cm]
Alexander Blank\\ [0.2cm]
Matriculation Number: \\
3796505\\ [0.5cm]
\textbf{Supervisor:}\\
Prof. Bogdan Franczyk\\
@@ -62,7 +64,22 @@
\pagebreak
\begin{abstract}
This could be your abstract - call 0800 - ABSTRACT to get your personal quote.
This thesis investigates the feasibility of predicting fertility from high-resolution body
core temperature data using machine learning.
More than 40,000 cycles recorded with an intravaginal sensor were used to train and evaluate recurrent,
transformer-based, and convolutional model variants.
Results show that while LSTM models achieved the lowest error on standard metrics,
transformer-based architectures performed more robustly in use-case evaluations
for contraception and natural family planning (NFP).
Predictions were substantially more accurate in regular cycles than in irregular ones,
underlining both the promise and the limits of temperature-based approaches.
A pre-ovulatory temperature drop was identified as a relevant physiological marker influencing fertility probability.
In simulated use cases, model predictions approached the effectiveness of established contraceptive
methods and enabled more efficient timing for conception efforts.
Despite the limitations of retrospective labeling, noisy real-world data,
and the restriction to temperature as a single modality,
the study demonstrates that machine learning can meaningfully advance individualized fertility prediction.
These results provide a foundation for future multimodal approaches and for the development of adaptive, user-tailored fertility support tools.
\end{abstract}
\pagebreak
@@ -97,6 +114,19 @@
Responsibility for the content, structure, and conclusions of this thesis remains entirely my own.
\pagebreak
I hereby declare that I have written the present thesis independently and only with the use of the sources and aids indicated.
In particular, literal or paraphrased quotations are marked as such.
I am aware that any violation may lead, even retrospectively,
to the revocation of the degree.
I further declare that the electronic copy is identical to the printed copies.
\vspace{2cm}
\noindent
\begin{tabular*}{\textwidth}{@{\extracolsep{\fill}} l c r}
Location: & Date: & Signature: \\
\end{tabular*}
\include{sections/appendix}
\printbibliography