fixes and improvements
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@@ -55,10 +55,10 @@
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Prof. Bogdan Franczyk\\
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Dr. Christian Alvermann\\[1.5cm]
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\textbf{Date:} September 2025\\[2cm]
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\textbf{Date:} September 2025\\[1.5cm]
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\textbf{Master of Science: Data Science}\\
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\textbf{Leipzig University}\\
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\textbf{Leipzig University}\\[1cm]
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\textit{In collaboration with VivoSensMedical GmbH}
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\end{titlepage}
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@@ -69,13 +69,13 @@
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More than 40,000 cycles recorded with an intravaginal sensor were used to train and evaluate recurrent,
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transformer-based, and convolutional model variants.
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Results show that while LSTM models achieved the lowest error on standard metrics,
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transformer-based architectures performed more robustly in use-case evaluations
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transformer-based architectures performed more robustly in use case evaluations
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for contraception and natural family planning (NFP).
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Predictions were substantially more accurate in regular cycles than in irregular ones,
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underlining both the promise and the limits of temperature-based approaches.
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A pre-ovulatory temperature drop was identified as a relevant physiological marker influencing fertility probability.
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In simulated use cases, model predictions approached the effectiveness of established contraceptive
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methods and enabled more efficient timing for conception efforts.
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In simulated use cases, model predictions substantially reduced simulated pregnancy risk compared to
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baseline methods and improved timing for conception efforts.
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Despite the limitations of retrospective labeling, noisy real-world data,
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and the restriction to temperature as a single modality,
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the study demonstrates that machine learning can meaningfully advance individualized fertility prediction.
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@@ -83,7 +83,6 @@
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\end{abstract}
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\pagebreak
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\tableofcontents
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\include{sections/introduction}
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@@ -100,6 +99,13 @@
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\include{sections/conclusion}
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\printbibliography
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\include{sections/appendix}
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\pagebreak
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\section*{Declaration of Use of AI-Assisted Writing Tools}
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@@ -112,23 +118,19 @@
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The outputs served solely as editorial support and did not replace my own academic work or authorship.
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Responsibility for the content, structure, and conclusions of this thesis remains entirely my own.
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\pagebreak
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I hereby declare that I have written the present thesis independently and only with the use of the sources and aids indicated.
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In particular, literal or paraphrased quotations are marked as such.
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I am aware that any violation may lead, even retrospectively,
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to the revocation of the degree.
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I further declare that the electronic copy is identical to the printed copies.
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\pagebreak
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Ich versichere, dass ich die vorliegende Arbeit selbstständig und nur unter Verwendung der
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angegebenen Quellen und Hilfsmittel angefertigt habe, insbesondere sind wörtliche oder
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sinngemäße Zitate als solche gekennzeichnet. Mir ist bekannt, dass Zuwiderhandlung auch
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nachträglich zur Aberkennung des Abschlusses führen kann.
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Ich versichere, dass das elektronische Exemplar mit den gedruckten Exemplaren übereinstimmt.
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\vspace{2cm}
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\noindent
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\begin{tabular*}{\textwidth}{@{\extracolsep{\fill}} l c r}
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Location: & Date: & Signature: \\
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Ort: & Datum: & Unterschrift: \\
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\end{tabular*}
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\include{sections/appendix}
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\printbibliography
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\pagebreak
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\end{document}
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